Poll: Most Britons Think Scotland Will Be Independent within A Decade
TEHRAN (FNA)- Voters across the UK believe Scotland is likely to become independent within the next decade – while more than half of those in Northern Ireland want a referendum on a united Ireland in the next five years, according to a series of polls.
The Sunday Times commissioned a series of surveys across the four nations of the United Kingdom to gauge attitudes towards the union.
The findings highlight some of the difficulties facing Prime Minister Boris Johnson as he struggles to keep the country together following its departure from the European Union.
In Scotland, the poll found 49 percent backed independence compared to 44 percent against – a margin of 52 percent to 48 percent if the undecideds are excluded.
In Northern Ireland, 47 percent still want to remain in the UK, with 42 percent in favour of a united Ireland and a significant proportion – 11 percent – undecided.
However, asked if they supported a referendum on a united Ireland within the next five years, 51 percent said yes compared to 44 percent who were against.
In Wales, where support for independence is traditionally weakest, 23 percent still backed leaving the UK while 31 percent supported a referendum.
Across all four nations, more voters expected Scotland to be out of the UK within 10 years than thought it would still remain.
In England, the margin was 49 percent to 19 percent, in Northern Ireland it was 60 percent to 28 percent, in Wales 49 percent to 23 percent and in Scotland itself 49 percent to 30 percent.
With crucial elections to the Scottish parliament coming up in May, the poll found the SNP way ahead on 70 percent – up seven points since the last elections in 2016 – while the Tories were down six points on 25 percent, with Labour down five points on 19 percent.
Panelbase polled 1,206 adults resident in Scotland between January 19 and 22. YouGov polled 1,416 English adults between January 19 and 20, and 1,059 people in Wales aged 16 and over between January 18 and 21. Lucidtalk polled 2,392 people in Northern Ireland aged 16 and over between January 15 and 18.